Castile-La Mancha parliamentary election, 2011

Castile-La Mancha parliamentary
election, 2011

22 May 2011

All 49 seats in the Courts of Castile-La Mancha 25 seats needed for a majority

Opinion polls
Registered	1,566,641 3.9%
Turnout	1,189,986 (76.0%) 2.3 pp
	First party	Second party

Leader	María Dolores de Cospedal	José María Barreda
Party	PP	PSOE
Leader since	14 June 2006	29 April 2004
Last election	21 seats, 42.4%	26 seats, 52.0%
Seats won	25	24
Seat change	4	2
Popular vote	564,954	509,738
Percentage	48.1%	43.4%
Swing	5.7 pp	8.6 pp

President before election

José María Barreda
PSOE

Elected President

María Dolores de Cospedal
PP

The 2011 Castile-La Mancha parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Courts of Castile-La Mancha, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Castile-La Mancha. At stake were all seats in the Courts, determining the President of the Junta of Communities of Castile-La Mancha. The number of members increased from 47 to 49 compared to the previous election.

The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) had formed the government of the region since the first democratic election in 1983, winning a majority of seats at all elections. However, this time the election was won by the People's Party (PP), which gained control of the region for the first time.

One of the first tasks of the Assembly was to elect the President of Castilla-La Mancha from among their number, with the PP candidate Maria Dolores de Cospedal replacing the outgoing President, José María Barreda, incumbent since April 2004.^[1]

Electoral system

The number of seats in the Castile-La Mancha Courts was set to a fixed-number of 49. All Courts members were elected in 5 multi-member districts, corresponding to Castile-La Mancha's five provinces, using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Each district was assigned a fixed set of seats, distributed as follows: Albacete (10), Ciudad Real (11), Cuenca (8), Guadalajara (8) and Toledo (12).

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 3% of valid votes in each district (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution.^[2]

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	UPyD	Oth.	Lead
Date	Polling Firm/Source					Oth.	Lead
22 May 2011	Regional Election	43.4	48.1	3.8	1.8	1.3	4.7
Exit polls
16 May	GAD	44.1	49.6			6.3	5.5
11–12 May	Metroscopia	42.2	47.9			9.9	5.7
13–20 Apr	Celeste-Tel^{[lower-alpha 1]}	45.6	47.7	4.5		2.2	2.1
17 Mar–17 Apr	CIS	45.0	46.3	4.4	0.8	3.5	1.3
11–14 Apr	Sigma-2	43.9	49.3	3.6		3.2	5.4
8–11 Apr	Ikerfel	42.5	48.6			8.9	6.1
28 Feb–1 Mar	GAD	44.0	50.3			5.7	6.3
26 Jan–5 Feb	PSOE	44.5	43.9			11.6	0.6
11 Jan	Celeste-Tel	47.2	45.3	4.4	2.1	1.0	1.9
30 Dec–3 Jan	NC-Report	48.2	46.2			5.6	2.0
2011
20–30 Dec	DYM	45.6	50.8			3.6	5.2
17–22 Dec	Sigma-2	43.7	50.0			6.3	6.3
2–4 Nov	DyS	42.2	46.9	5.9	4.2	0.8	4.7
11–14 Oct	DyS	41.3	47.4			11.3	6.1
28 Jun	Celeste-Tel	47.4	45.0	4.2	2.5	0.9	2.4
21–25 May	Sigma-2	41.4	49.7	4.1		4.8	8.3
14 Mar	Noxa	48.1	44.1	3.1	3.3	1.4	4.0
4–14 Mar	DyS	44.8	45.6	4.1	3.0	2.5	0.8
1–8 Mar	Obradoiro	46.1	44.6	3.2	3.2	2.9	1.5
2010
7 Jun 2009	EP Election	39.9	51.5	3.0	2.6	1.9	11.6
2009
9 Mar 2008	General Election	44.5	49.4	2.9	1.1	1.1	4.9
2008
27 May 2007	Regional Election	52.0	42.4	3.4		1.0	9.6

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 25 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Courts of Castile-La Mancha.

25 seats needed for majority (17/11/2007–22/05/2011)
Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	UPyD	Others
Date	Polling Firm/Source					Others
22 May 2011	Regional Election	24	25	0	0	0
Exit polls
16 May	GAD	22−24	25−27	0	0	0
11–12 May	Metroscopia	24	25	0	0	0
13–20 Apr	Celeste-Tel	25	24	0	0	0
17 Mar–17 Apr	CIS	24	25	0	0	0
11–14 Apr	Sigma-2	22−24	25−27	0	0	0
8–11 Apr	Ikerfel	21−23	26−28	0	0	0
28 Feb–1 Mar	GAD	22−24	25−27	0	0	0
26 Jan–5 Feb	PSOE	25	24	0	0	0
11 Jan	Celeste-Tel	25	24	0	0	0
30 Dec–3 Jan	NC-Report	24−25	24−25	0	0	0
2011
20–30 Dec	DYM	23	26	0	0	0
17–22 Dec	Sigma-2	20−25	24−29	0	0	0
2–4 Nov	DyS	22	27	0	0	0
11–14 Oct	DyS	22	27	0	0	0
28 Jun	Celeste-Tel	25	24	0	0	0
21–25 May	Sigma-2	20−23	26−29	0	0	0
14 Mar	Noxa	25−26	23−24	0	0	0
4–14 Mar	DyS	24	25	0	0	0
1–8 Mar	Obradoiro	25	24	0	0	0
2010
2009
2008
27 May 2007	Regional Election	26	21	0		0

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Castile-La Mancha Courts election results →
Party		Vote			Seats

Party		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	564,954	48.11	5.73	25	4
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	509,738	43.40	8.56	24	2
	United Left of Castile-La Mancha (IUCLM)	44,302	3.77	0.35	0	±0
	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	20,554	1.75	New	0	±0
	Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)	4,128	0.35	New	0	±0
	Castilian Party (PCAS)	2,752	0.23	New	0	±0
	The Greens-Green Group (LV-GV)	2,375	0.20	New	0	±0
	Ecolo-Greens Guadalajara (ECOLO-V)	1,673	0.14	0.18	0	±0
	Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB)	1,615	0.14	New	0	±0
	Toledo Independent Citizens' Union (UCIT)	1,430	0.12	New	0	±0
	Castilian Unity (UdCa)	745	0.06	0.05	0	±0
	Citizens of Democratic Centre (CCD)	507	0.04	New	0	±0
	Blank ballots	19,643	1.67	0.39

Total		1,174,416	100.00		49	2

Valid votes		1,174,416	98.69	0.56
Invalid votes		15,570	1.31	0.56
Votes cast / turnout		1,189,986	75.96	2.25
Abstentions		376,655	24.04	2.25
Registered voters		1,566,641

Source: Argos Information Portal

Vote share

PP			48.11%
PSOE			43.40%
IUCLM			3.77%
UPyD			1.75%
Others			1.30%
Blank ballots			1.67%

Parliamentary seats

PP			51.02%
PSOE			48.98%

Notes

↑ This survey shows its poll results projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other surveys, a rule of three has been applied to the survey projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.

References

Elections in Castile-La Mancha

Parliamentary elections	1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 next

General elections	1977 1979 1982 1986 1989 1993 1996 2000 2004 2008 2011 2015 2016 next

Regional elections in Spain in the 2010s

2010	November: Catalonia

2011	May: Aragon Asturias Balearic Islands Canary Islands Cantabria Castile and León Castile-La Mancha Ceuta Extremadura La Rioja Madrid Melilla Murcia Navarre Valencian Community

2012	March: Andalusia Asturias October: Basque Country Galicia November: Catalonia

2015	March: Andalusia May: Aragon Asturias Balearic Islands Canary Islands Cantabria Castile and León Castile-La Mancha Ceuta Extremadura La Rioja Madrid Melilla Murcia Navarre Valencian Community September: Catalonia

2016	September: Basque Country Galicia

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