United States Senate election in Washington, 2016
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| Elections in Washington |
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General elections
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The 2016 United States Senate election in Washington was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Washington. Incumbent Democratic Senator Patty Murray ran for re-election to a fifth term in office,[1] and won by a significant margin, winning 59% of the vote, to Republican Chris Vance's 40%.
The election took place concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Under Washington's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the August 2 primary, voters had the choice to vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers — regardless of party — advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election. California is the only other state with this system, a so-called "top two primary" (Louisiana has a similar "jungle primary", but there is no general election if one candidate receives 50% plus one vote of all votes cast in the primary).
Candidates
Democratic Party
Declared
- Thor Amundson[2]
- Phil Cornell, retired communications technician[3]
- Patty Murray, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Mohammed Said[2]
Republican Party
Declared
- Eric John Makus[2]
- Uncle Mover[2]
- Scott Nazarino[2]
- Chris Vance, former State Representative and former chair of the Washington State Republican Party[4]
Declined
- Bill Bryant, Seattle Port Commissioner (running for Governor)[5][6]
- Andy Hill, State Senator[5]
- Jaime Herrera Beutler, U.S. Representative[7]
- Steve Litzow, State Senator[5]
- Rob McKenna, former Attorney General of Washington and nominee for Governor in 2012[8]
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. Representative[7]
- Dave Reichert, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[5][9][10]
- Dino Rossi, former State Senator, nominee for Governor of Washington in 2004 and 2008, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2010[5]
Third Party and Independent Candidates
Declared
- Pano Churchill (Lincoln Caucus)[2]
- Ted Cummings (Independent)[2]
- Zach Haller (Independent)[2]
- Chuck Jackson (Independent)[2]
- Donna Rae Lands (Conservative)[2]
- Mike Luke (Libertarian)[2]
- Jeremy Teuton (System Reboot)[2]
- Alex Tsimerman (StandUpAmerica)[2]
- Sam Wright (Human Rights)[2]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Patty Murray (incumbent) | 745,421 | 53.82 | |
| Republican | Chris Vance | 381,004 | 27.51 | |
| Republican | Eric John Makus | 57,825 | 4.18 | |
| Democratic | Phil Cornell | 46,460 | 3.35 | |
| Republican | Scott Nazarino | 41,542 | 3.00 | |
| Libertarian | Mike Luke | 20,988 | 1.52 | |
| Democratic | Mohammad Said | 13,362 | 0.96 | |
| Independent | Donna Rae Lands | 11,472 | 0.83 | |
| Independent | Ted Cummings | 11,028 | 0.80 | |
| Independent | Sam Wright | 10,751 | 0.78 | |
| Republican | Uncle Mover | 8,569 | 0.62 | |
| Independent | Jeremy Teuton | 7,991 | 0.58 | |
| Democratic | Thor Amundson | 7,906 | 0.57 | |
| Independent | Chuck Jackson | 6,318 | 0.46 | |
| Independent | Pano Churchill | 5,150 | 0.37 | |
| Independent | Zach Haller | 5,092 | 0.37 | |
| Independent | Alex Tsimerman | 4,117 | 0.30 | |
| Total votes | 1,384,996 | 100 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[12] | Safe D | September 9, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | September 19, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[14] | Safe D | September 2, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[15] | Safe D | September 16, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[16] | Safe D | September 15, 2016 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Patty Murray (D) |
Chris Vance (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,451 | ± 4.6% | 59% | 37% | — | 4% |
| Insights West | November 4–6, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 53% | 37% | — | 11% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 1,292 | ± 4.6% | 59% | 37% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 944 | ± 4.6% | 61% | 36% | — | 3% |
| SurveyUSA | October 31–November 2, 2016 | 667 | ± 3.9% | 53% | 41% | — | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 807 | ± 4.6% | 61% | 36% | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 698 | ± 4.6% | 61% | 36% | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 745 | ± 4.6% | 61% | 36% | — | 3% |
| Elway Poll | October 20–22, 2016 | 502 | ± 4.5% | 58% | 34% | — | 8% |
| KCTS 9/YouGov | October 6–13, 2016 | 750 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 39% | — | 16% |
| Strategies 360/KOMO News | September 29–October 3, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 57% | 36% | — | 6% |
| Emerson College | September 25–26, 2016 | 700 | ± 3.6% | 48% | 41% | 3% | 8% |
| Insights West | September 12–14, 2016 | 505 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 25% | 2% | 27% |
| Elway Poll | August 9–13, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 52% | 34% | — | 14% |
| Elway Poll | April 14–17, 2016 | 503 | ± 3.5% | 50% | 32% | — | 18% |
| Elway Poll | October 13–15, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 23% | — | 33% |
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See also
References
- ↑ Brunner, Jim (9 February 2014). "Patty Murray to seek fifth Senate term in 2016". The Seattle Times. Retrieved 16 October 2014.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Camden, Jim (May 23, 2016). "Final list of candidates in the August primary". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved May 24, 2016.
- ↑ http://www.philcornell4ussenate.org// Phil Cornell (D) for Senate
- ↑ Pathé, Simone (September 8, 2015). "Former Washington GOP Chairman to Challenge Patty Murray". Roll Call. Retrieved September 8, 2015.
- 1 2 3 4 5 Pathe, Simone (May 8, 2015). "GOP Searches for Patty Murray Challenger". Roll Call. Retrieved May 8, 2015.
- ↑ Brunner, Jim (May 14, 2015). "Port Commissioner Bill Bryant announces run for governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved May 14, 2015.
- 1 2 "Washington Voters Grow Further In Support of Gay Marriage, Marijuana, Background Checks" (PDF) (Press release). Public Policy Polling. May 20, 2015. Retrieved 19 February 2016.
- ↑ Rosenthal, Brian (February 19, 2013). "Former AG McKenna joins law firm". Yakima Herald. Retrieved March 4, 2013.
- ↑ Joseph, Cameron (9 August 2013). "Rep. Reichert 'thinking about' run for Senate, governor in Washington". The Hill. Retrieved 16 October 2014.
- ↑ Brunner, Jim (16 October 2015). "Dave Reichert won't run against Jay Inslee for governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved 1 November 2015.
- ↑ "August 2, 2016 Primary Results - U.S. Senator". Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved August 22, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
- ↑ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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