United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2016

United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2016
Minnesota
November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)
All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party DFL Republican
Last election 5 3
Seats won Steady Steady
Seat change 5 3
Popular vote 1,434,559 1,334,679
Percentage 51.80% 48.20%

The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the eight U.S. Representatives from the state of Minnesota, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 9.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2016[1]
Party Votes Percentage Seats Before Seats After +/–
Democratic Farmer-Labor 1,434,559 50.20% 5 5 -
Republican 1,334,679 46.70% 3 3 -
Legal Marijuana Now 57,911 2.02% 0 0 -
Independence 28,870 1.01% 0 0 -
Others 4,370 0.15% 0 0 -
Totals 2,860,389 100.00% 8 8 —

District 1

Democrat Tim Walz of the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party defeated Republican Jim Hagedorn to retain his seat.

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican Primary Election [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Hagedorn 10,851 76.52
Republican Steve Williams 3,330 23.48
Total votes 14,181 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic Primary Election [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Tim Walz 13,538 100
Total votes 13,538 100

General election

Results

Minnesota's 1st Congressional district election, 2016 [3]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Tim Walz 169,071 50.34
Republican Jim Hagedorn 166,524 49.58
Write-in 278 0.08
Total votes 335,873 100
Democratic hold

District 2

Republican John Kline has represented Minnesota's second district since 2003, but announced that he would not seek re-election in 2016.[4]

Jason Lewis won the district's Republican primary, defeating opponents Matthew Erickson, John Howe, and Darlene Miller. Democrat Angela Craig, who served as vice president of global human resources for St. Jude Medical, resigned her position in January 2015 to challenge Lewis.[5] Mary Lawrence, a doctor, also ran as a Democrat[6] but dropped out before the primary.

Election Projection stated that when Kline decided not to run in 2016, the district "immediately went from relatively safe to very competitive".[7] According to the Cook Political Report, the district has a rating of R+2, "almost perfectly" "purple".[7]

Commentators wrote that the election was "likely to be one of the most-watched congressional races in the country," (MinnPost[8]), "expected to be one of the most competitive in the country", according to Roll Call newspaper,[9] and "seen as a prime target for Democrats to flip" according to The Atlantic.[10]

Area left-wing weekly City Pages described the campaign as resembling the 2016 presidential campaign, calling Lewis "an entrepreneur and media personality, whose blunt rhetoric is refreshingly honest to some, simply offensive to others", and describing Craig as "a tough female leader with moderate positions, ties to big business, and a penchant for pantsuits".[11]

In May 2016, the Rothenberg and Gonzales Political Report changed its rating of the race from "pure tossup" to "tossup/tilt Democratic,"[12] with political analyst Nathan Gonzales writing that Craig "is probably to the left of the district in her ideology, but she has a good story to tell, is raising considerable money (she had $1.3 million in the bank at the end of March) and is solid as a candidate."[12] As of May 2016, Election Projection predicted "Angela Craig by 4.7%".[7] Other political prognosticators rated the race "Republican Toss-up" (Charlie Cook), and "pure" toss-up (Larry Sabato's "Crystal Ball"), according to MinnPost.[12]

Lewis ended up defeating Craig by several thousand votes in the November election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Results

Republican Primary Election [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jason Lewis 11,641 48.91
Republican Darlene Miller 7,305 30.69
Republican John Howe 3,244 13.63
Republican Matthew D. Erickson 1,612 6.77
Total votes 23,802 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Results

Democratic Primary Election [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Angie Craig 15,155 100
Total votes 15,155 100

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Jason
Lewis (R)		 Angie
Craig (D)		 Other Undecided
KSTP/SurveyUSA October 13–16, 2016 600 ± 4.1% 41% 46% — 12%
WPA Opinion Research October 9–10, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 36% 33% — 26%
Gerstein Bocian Agne Strategies August 13–16, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 42% 43% 9% 6%
Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research August 14-15, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 39% 27% 7% 25%

Results

Minnesota's 2nd Congressional district election, 2016 [3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jason Lewis 173,970 46.95
DFL Angie Craig 167,315 45.16
Independence Paula Overby 28,870 7.79
Write-in Others 360 0.10
Majority 6,655 1.79
Total votes 370,515 100
Republican hold

District 3

Republican Erik Paulsen retained his seat, comfortably defeating DFL State Senator Terri Bonoff.

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Erik
Paulsen (R)		 Terri
Bonoff (D)		 Tim
Sherno (I)		 Undecided
KSTP/SurveyUSA [54] October 10–13, 2016 579 ± 4.2% 49% 38% - 13%
Clarity Campaign Lab[55] September 11-13, 2016 353 ± 4.34% 45% 42% - 13%
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee[56] September 12, 2016 353 ± 5.2% 38% 40% - 22%
Newton Heath LLC August 9–11, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 57% 31% - 12%
Victoria Research & Consulting [57] June 27–30, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 45% 45% - 10%

Results

Minnesota's 3rd Congressional district election, 2016 [3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Erik Paulsen 223,075 56.70
DFL Terri E. Bonoff 169,238 43.01
Write-in 1,144 0.29
Total votes 393,457 100
Republican hold

District 4

Democrat Betty McCollum retained her seat over Republican challenger Greg Ryan.

Republican Primary

Candidates

Results

Republican Primary Election [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Ryan 5,618 81.98
Republican Gene Rechtzigel 845 12.33
Republican Nikolay Nikolayevich Bey 390 5.69
Total votes 6,853 100

Democratic Primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic Primary Election [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Betty McCollum 33,336 94.00
DFL Steve Carlson 2,128 6.00
Total votes 35,464 100

General election

Results

Minnesota's 4th Congressional district election, 2016 [3]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Betty McCollum 203,299 57.76
Republican Greg Ryan 121,033 34.39
Legal Marijuana Now Susan Pendergast Sindt 27,152 7.71
Write-in 461 0.13
Total votes 351,945 100
Democratic hold

District 5

Democrat Keith Ellison retained his seat, comfortably defeating Republican Frank Nelson Drake and a third party challenger.

Republican primary

Results

Republican Primary Election [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Frank Nelson Drake 4,177 100
Total votes 4,177 100

Democratic primary

Results

Democratic Primary Election [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Keith Ellison 40,380 91.72
DFL Gregg Iverson 1,887 4.29
DFL Lee Bauer 1,757 3.99
Total votes 44,024 100

General election

Results

Minnesota's 5th Congressional district election, 2016 [3]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Keith Ellison 249,957 69.07
Republican Frank Nelson Drake 80,660 22.29
Legal Marijuana Now Dennis Schuller 30,759 8.50
Write-in 499 0.14
Total votes 361,875 100
Democratic hold

District 6

First term incumbent Republican Tom Emmer defeated DFL candidate David Snyder.

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican Primary Election [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Emmer 13,590 68.74
Republican A. J. Kern 5,219 26.40
Republican Patrick Munro 962 4.87
Total votes 19,771 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic Primary Election [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL David Snyder 4,402 46.02
DFL Judy Evelyn Adams 3,569 37.31
DFL Bob Helland 1,595 16.67
Total votes 9,566 100

General election

Results

Minnesota's 6th Congressional district election, 2016 [3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Emmer 235,385 65.58
DFL David Snyder 123,010 34.27
Write-in 535 0.15
Total votes 358,930 100
Republican hold

District 7

Democrat Collin Peterson retained his seat, defeating Republican challenger Dave Hughes.

Republican primary

Results

Republican Primary Election [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dave Hughes 8,769 58.96
Republican Amanda Lynn Hinson 6,104 41.04
Total votes 14,873 100

Democratic primary

Results

Democratic Primary Election [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Collin Peterson 16,253 100
Total votes 16,253 100


General election

Results

Minnesota's 7th Congressional district election, 2016 [3]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Collin Peterson 173,572 52.47
Republican Dave Hughes 156,944 47.44
Write-in 307 0.09
Total votes 330,823 100
Democratic hold

District 8

Democrat Rick Nolan retained his seat, defeating Republican Stewart Mills III in the 2016 election. It was Nolan's second victory over Mills, who unsuccessfully challenged Nolan in the 2014 election.

Though Nolan's margain of victory in 2016 (2,009 votes) was too large to trigger a publicly funded automatic recount, Mills, as of late November 2016, has said that he plans to request and pay for a hand recount of all votes cast in the eighth district, as is his right under law. Mills plans to cover the cost of the recount--just over $100,000--with funds from his private fortune, which is immense. According to the Minneapolis Start Tribune, Minnesota has not seen a recount in a race for the House of Representatives since the year 2000, when election day totals in Minnesota's 2nd congressional district fell within the half percentage point threshold, thus triggering a state funded recount. It is not known if Mills's request for a privately funded recount has precedent in Minnesota's electoral history, at least as it pertains to elections for the House of Representatives. [58]

General election

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Rick
Nolan (D)		 Stewart
Mills (R)		 Undecided
KSTP/SurveyUSA October 16–19, 2016 595 ± 4.1% 41% 45% 14%

Results

Minnesota's 8th Congressional district election, 2016 [3]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Rick Nolan 179,097 50.17
Republican Stewart Mills 177,088 49.61
Write-in 786 0.22
Total votes 356,971 100
Democratic hold

References

  1. ↑ http://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/ENR/home/100/
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 "August 9, 2016 Primary Election Unofficial Results". Minnesota Secretary of State. August 9, 2016. Retrieved November 20, 2016.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "November 8, 2016 General Election Unofficial Results". Minnesota Secretary of State. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 20, 2016.
  4. 1 2 "Rep. John Kline says he won't seek re-election in 2nd District - StarTribune.com". Star Tribune. Retrieved September 3, 2015.
  5. ↑ "St. Jude Medical exec to run for Congress". Minneapolis / St. Paul Business Journal. January 26, 2015. Retrieved January 28, 2015.
  6. ↑ "Another Democrat files for 2nd Congressional District". TwinCities.com. Retrieved September 3, 2015.
  7. 1 2 3 "2016 MINNESOTA 2ND DISTRICT ELECTION". Election Projection. May 18, 2016. Retrieved 24 August 2016.
  8. ↑ Brodey, Sam (10 August 2016). "It's Jason Lewis vs. Angie Craig in what's likely to be one of the most-watched congressional races in the country". Minn Post. Retrieved 22 August 2016.
  9. ↑ Pathé, Simone (9 August 2016). "Controversial Former Talk Radio Host Wins GOP Primary in Minnesota Battleground". Roll Call. Retrieved 22 August 2016.
  10. ↑ COTTLE, MICHELLE (12 August 2016). "Meet Minnesota's Mini-Trump". The Atlantic. Retrieved 22 August 2016.
  11. ↑ Whitely, Maxine (June 2, 2016). "Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District race looks an awful lot like the presidential fight". City Pages. Retrieved 23 August 2016.
  12. 1 2 3 Black, Eric (19 May 2016). "Rothenberg Report gives edge to DFLer Angie Craig for Kline seat". Retrieved 23 August 2016.
  13. ↑ Montgomery, David H. (September 22, 2015). "Howe runs for Second District as 'conservative' but 'electable'". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  14. ↑ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (October 12, 2015). ""Mr. Right" Jason Lewis is running for the Second District". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved October 12, 2015.
  15. ↑ Montgomery, David H. (January 6, 2016). "Darlene Miller enters GOP race for Second District seat". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved January 7, 2016.
  16. ↑ Johnson, Tad (June 10, 2016). "Fourth candidate enters 2nd District race". Sun This Week. Retrieved 5 July 2016.
  17. ↑ Brucato, Cyndy (December 2, 2015). "The odd congressional candidacy of David Benson-Staebler". MinnPost. Retrieved January 7, 2016.
  18. ↑ Montgomery, David (February 25, 2016). "David Benson-Staebler drops out of Second District race". Pioneer Press. Retrieved 5 July 2016.
  19. ↑ Alex Isenstadt (January 31, 2015). "They're back! The new tea party surge". Politico. Retrieved February 1, 2015.
  20. ↑ Coolican, J. Patrick (September 4, 2015). "David Gerson jumps on Rep. John Kline announcement that he's not running". Star Tribune. Retrieved September 18, 2015.
  21. ↑ Montgomery, David H. (October 7, 2015). "Former lawmaker, LG candidate Pam Myhra enters Second District race". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved October 7, 2015.
  22. ↑ "Albright to seek re-election in House, opts against Congress bid". Prior Lake American. October 12, 2015. Retrieved October 13, 2015.
  23. ↑ Pathé, Simone; Cahn, Emily (September 3, 2015). "Minnesota's John Kline Will Not Seek Eighth Term (Updated)". Roll Call. Retrieved September 18, 2015.
  24. ↑ Hart, Cassie (October 16, 2015). "Former State Sen. Daley Announces he Won't Run for Congress". KSTP-TV. Retrieved October 17, 2015.
  25. ↑ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (September 21, 2015). "State Rep. Drazkowski will not run for Congress". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  26. ↑ Salisbury, Bill (September 3, 2015). "Names being circulated as John Kline replacements". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved September 18, 2015.
  27. ↑ Brodkorb, Michael (September 3, 2015). ".@johnkriesel says no to run for Congress in 2nd CD -> "Hahahaha." Follow-up: "Life is perfect right now. No need for me to mess that up."". Twitter. Retrieved October 17, 2015.
  28. ↑ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (September 14, 2015). "McFadden declines to run for Minnesota's Second Congressional District seat". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved September 18, 2015.
  29. ↑ Montgomery, David H. (September 15, 2015). "Mary Pawlenty won't run for Second District seat". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved September 18, 2015.
  30. ↑ Brodkorb, Michael (September 11, 2015). "Roz Peterson, Dave Thompson will not run for Congress". Star Tribune. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  31. ↑ Montgomery, David (September 15, 2015). "Second District: Pawlenty, Pratt reject race for Congress". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  32. ↑ "Sviggum Takes A Pass On Congressional Run". Post-Bulletin. September 11, 2015. Retrieved September 18, 2015.
  33. ↑ Montgomery, David H. (September 11, 2015). "State Sen. Dave Thompson says no to Second District run". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved September 18, 2015.
  34. ↑ "The Madison Project Endorses David Gerson For Congress In MN-2". Madison Project. September 15, 2015. Retrieved September 15, 2015.
  35. 1 2 Belden, Doug (January 26, 2015). "DFLer and conservative say they'll go after Kline's seat in 2016". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved January 28, 2015.
  36. ↑ Scheck, Tom (April 6, 2015). "Craig kicks off campaign to challenge Kline". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved September 15, 2015.
  37. ↑ Pugmire, Tim (November 17, 2015). "Kittelson joins DFL field in Minnesota's 2nd District". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved November 24, 2015.
  38. ↑ McIntee, Michael (January 5, 2016). "Craig's Remaining DFL Opponent Ends Campaign". The UpTake. Retrieved January 7, 2016.
  39. ↑ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (March 24, 2015). "Another Democrat files for 2nd Congressional District". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved September 15, 2015.
  40. ↑ Neely, Brett (April 9, 2015). "Ophthalmologist announces bid to unseat Kline". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved September 15, 2015.
  41. ↑ Montgomery, David H. (January 5, 2016). "Mary Lawrence drops out of Second District race". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved January 7, 2016.
  42. ↑ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (October 1, 2015). "Atkins, like many before him, passes on a Second District Congressional run". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved October 1, 2015.
  43. ↑ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (September 20, 2015). "DFL state Rep. Rick Hansen opts against a Second District run". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  44. 1 2 "Angie Craig Announces First Endorsement From Members Of Congress". Angie Craig for Congress. June 29, 2015. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  45. 1 2 3 4 5 "Angie Craig Announces Victory Fund, DFL Officers' Endorsements". Angie Craig for Congress. April 28, 2015. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  46. 1 2 "Angie Craig Announces New Round Of Endorsements". Angie Craig for Congress. June 10, 2015. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  47. 1 2 3 4 "Angie Craig Announces New Endorsements From Local Elected Officials". Angie Craig for Congress. August 17, 2015. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  48. 1 2 "Angie Craig Announces Endorsements From Minnesota Legislators". Angie Craig for Congress. May 11, 2015. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  49. 1 2 "Angie Craig Announces Endorsements From Stonewall Caucus, Local Officials". Angie Craig for Congress. June 3, 2015. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  50. 1 2 "Sen. Katie Sieben, Rep. Dan Schoen Endorse Angie Craig For Congress". Angie Craig for Congress. June 24, 2015. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  51. ↑ "Angie Craig Announces Endorsement Of IUPAT District Council 82". Angie Craig for Congress. September 28, 2015. Retrieved October 7, 2015.
  52. ↑ "United Steelworkers Endorse Angie Craig For Congress". Angie Craig for Congress. September 3, 2015. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  53. ↑ Scheck, Tom (September 24, 2015). "WomenWinning backs Angie Craig for Congress". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  54. ↑ http://kstp.com/politics/kstpsurveyusa-paulsen-holds-big-lead-in-3rd-district/4292879/. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  55. ↑ (PDF). 2016-09-15 http://files.www.thehousemajoritypac.com/poll-memos/MN-03_Poll_Memo.pdf. Retrieved 2016-09-24. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  56. ↑ "TERRI BONOFF LEADS BY 2 POINTS - DCCC". 2016-09-15. Retrieved 2016-09-24.
  57. ↑ "MN03 Poll Memo from the Bonoff Campaign".
  58. ↑ Condon, Patrick (November 28, 2016). "GOP's Mills to seek recount after narrowly losing northeastern Minnesota congressional race". Star Tribune. Retrieved November 28, 2016.
  59. ↑ "MILLS LANDS SMALL BUSINESS ENDORSEMENT". Mesabi Daily News. August 5, 2016.
  60. ↑ "Minnesota Farm Bureau endorses Mills". ifallsjournal.com. September 24, 2016.
  61. ↑ "Editorial: First day of Tribune endorsements for U.S. House seats in Illinois". Chicago Tribune. October 7, 2016.
  62. ↑ "ECM Editorial: On the issues, Mills shines in the 8th". Princeton Union-Eagle. October 14, 2016.

External links

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