United States Senate election in Hawaii, 2010
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The 2010 United States Senate election in Hawaii took place on November 2, 2010 concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary elections were held on September 18, 2010.[1] Incumbent Democrat U.S. Senator and President pro tempore Daniel Inouye won re-election to his ninth term.
Background
Hawaii last elected a Republican Senator in 1970, and its current delegation to the United States Congress currently consists entirely of Democrats. Democrats have also won Hawaii's electoral votes in every presidential election since Ronald Reagan's landslide election in 1984. The exceptions at the time were then-Governor Linda Lingle (who was serving her second and final term) and then-U.S. Representative Charles Djou, both of whom are Republicans.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Daniel Inouye, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Andy Woerner, businessman
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Daniel Inouye (incumbent) | 188,400 | 88.3 | |
| Democratic | Andy Woerner | 25,016 | 11.7 | |
| Total votes | 213,416 | 100 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
- Campbell Cavasso, former State Representative
- Eddie Pirkowski, businessman and U.S. Senate candidate in the 2006 primary
- John Roco
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Campbell Cavasso | 21,865 | 66.7 | |
| Republican | John Roco | 7,190 | 21.9 | |
| Republican | Eddie Pirkowski | 3,744 | 11.4 | |
| Total votes | 32,790 | 100 | ||
General election
Candidates
- Democratic: Daniel Inouye
- Republican: Campbell Cavasso
- Green: Jim Brewer
- Libertarian: Lloyd Mallan
- Independent: Jeff Jarrett
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Solid D[3] | October 22, 2010 |
| Rothenberg | Safe D[4] | October 15, 2010 |
| Swing State Project | Safe D | |
| RealClearPolitics | Safe D[5] | October 22, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D[6] | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Safe D[7] | October 22, 2010 |
Campaign
The death of longtime U.S. Senator Robert C. Byrd allowed Inouye to become the President pro tempore and Chairman of the United States Senate Committee on Appropriations. He has no apologies for bringing home as much federal money as he can, despite Republican insistence that the U.S. government taxes and spends too much, a stance he calls a "nice gimmick." The Maui News has endorsed his re-election.[8]
Cavasso, the 2004 nominee, is running again and won the Republican primary again. He is running on a platform of change and is emphasizing the need for a balanced budget.[9] Inouye, who defeated Cavasso in 2004 by 52 percentage points, released TV ads that refer to him simply as "Dan". The senator is said to be "working" for Hawaii's transportation, high-tech economy, education and other needs.[10]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Daniel Inouye (D) | John Roco (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | June 24, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 68% | 20% | 3% | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Daniel Inouye (D) |
Cam Cavasso (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | October 13, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 40% | 3% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 2–3, 2010 | 1326 | ± 2.7% | 65% | 29% | — | 6% |
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Inouye (D) | $3,503,323 | $3,814,829 | $1,506,305 | $0 |
| Campbell Cavasso (R) | $252,711 | $238,794 | $14,385 | $126,179 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[11] | ||||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Daniel Inouye (incumbent) | 277,228 | 74.81% | -0.70% | |
| Republican | Cam Cavasso | 79,939 | 21.57% | +0.58% | |
| Green | Jim Brewer | 7,762 | 2.09% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Lloyd Jeffrey Mallen | 2,957 | 0.80% | -0.47% | |
| Independent | Jeff Jarrett | 2,697 | 0.73% | N/A | |
| Majority | 197,289 | 53.24% | |||
| Total votes | 370,583 | 100 | |||
| Democratic hold | Swing | ||||
References
- ↑ http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2010/2010pdates.pdf
- 1 2 "Hawaii Senate Primary Results". Politico. September 18, 2010. Retrieved September 19, 2010.
- ↑ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 22, 2010.
- ↑ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 22, 2010.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 22, 2010.
- ↑ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 22, 2010.
- ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 22, 2010.
- ↑ News Clippings
- ↑ Cavasso Files For US Senate Run | Cam Cavasso | Hawaii Senate Race 2010
- ↑ Cavasso undeterred by odds in campaign against Inouye - Hawaii News - Staradvertiser.com
- ↑ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Hawaii". fec.gov. Retrieved July 27, 2010.
- ↑ http://hawaii.gov/elections/results/2010/general/files/histatewide.pdf
External links
- Hawaii Office of Elections
- U.S. Congress candidates for Hawaii at Project Vote Smart
- Hawaii U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Hawaii Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Hawaii Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- Hawaii Senate from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Hawaii Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- Official campaign websites
- Campbell Cavasso for U.S. Senate
- Daniel Inouye U.S. Senator
- Jeff Jarrett for Hawaii, US Senate
- Lloyd Mallan for U.S. Senate
- Eddie Pirkowski for U.S. Senate
- John Roco for U.S. Senator
- Andy Woerner for U.S. Senate