New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2012

November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)



Nominee	Maggie Hassan	Ovide Lamontagne
Party	Democratic	Republican
Popular vote	378,934	294,024
Percentage	54.6%	42.52%

County results

Governor before election

John Lynch
Democratic

Elected Governor

Maggie Hassan
Democratic

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The 2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election, U.S. House elections, and various state and local elections.

Four-term incumbent governor John Lynch was eligible to seek a fifth term. In the fall of 2011, Lynch announced that he would retire rather than run for re-election.^[1] On September 11, 2012, Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican Ovide Lamontagne defeated primary opponents to win their parties' nominations.^[2]^[3] Hassan won the election while carrying every county in the state and began the two-year term on January 3, 2013.^[4]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Jackie Cilley, former state Senator^[5]
Maggie Hassan, former majority leader of the New Hampshire Senate^[6]
Bill Kennedy, firefighter and retired Air Force officer^[7]^[8]

Declined

Mark Connolly, former director of the New Hampshire's Bureau of Securities Regulation^[9]
Tom Ferrini, the mayor of Portsmouth^[1]
Gary Hirshberg, chairman and former CEO of Stonyfield Farm^[10]
John Lynch, incumbent governor^[1]
Steve Marchand, former mayor of Portsmouth^[11]
Phil McLaughlin, former state Attorney General^[12]
Terry Shumaker, lawyer and former United States Ambassador to Trinidad and Tobago^[13]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jackie Cilley	Maggie Hassan	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	August 9–12, 2012	400	± 4.9%	24%	30%	—	46%
Public Policy Polling	May 10–13, 2012	477	± 4.5%	20%	23%	—	57%

Results

Democratic primary results^[14]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Maggie Hassan	45,120	53.1
	Democratic	Jackie Cilley	33,066	38.9
	Democratic	Bill Kennedy	5,936	7.0
	Democratic	Other	850	1.0
Total votes			84,972	100

Republican primary

Candidates

Ovide M. Lamontagne, attorney, nominee for Governor in 1996 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010^[15]
Kevin H. Smith, conservative activist and former state Representative^[16]
Robert Tarr^[17]

Declined

Bill Binnie, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010^[18]
Jeb Bradley, New Hampshire Senate Majority Leader and former U.S. Representative^[19]
Peter Bragdon, state Senate President^[20]
Ted Gatsas, Mayor of Manchester^[21]
Steve Kenda, businessman^[22]
John Lyons, chairman of the New Hampshire Board of Education^[23]
John Stephen, former Health and Human Services Commissioner and Republican nominee for Governor in 2010^[24]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ovide Lamontagne	Kevin Smith	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	August 9–12, 2012	662	± 3.8%	49%	21%	—	30%
Public Policy Polling	May 10–13, 2012	555	± 4.2%	53%	13%	—	34%
Public Policy Polling	January 7–8, 2012	1,771	± 2.3%	40%	12%	—	48%

Results

Republican primary results^[14]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ovide Lamontagne	73,437	67.7
	Republican	Kevin Smith	32,396	29.8
	Republican	Robert Tarr	1,725	1.6
	Republican	Other	988	0.9
Total votes			108,546	100

General election

Candidates

John Babiarz (Libertarian), businessman and party nominee for Governor in 2000, 2002, and 2010^[25]
Maggie Hassan (D), former majority leader of the New Hampshire Senate
Ovide Lamontagne (R), attorney, Republican nominee for Governor in 1996, and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010

Debates

Complete video of debate, C-SPAN, September 14, 2012
Complete video of debate at C-SPAN, October 8, 2012

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Maggie Hassan (D)	Ovide Lamontagne (R)	Other	Undecided
Rasmussen Reports	November 4, 2012	750	± 4%	50%	45%	1%	4%
New England College	November 3–4, 2012	666	± 4.1%	47%	45%	1%	7%
Public Policy Polling	November 3–4, 2012	1,550	± 2.5%	51%	47%	—	2%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	November 1–4, 2012	789	± 3.5%	54%	43%	3%	—
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	October 31–November 2, 2012	502	± 4.4%	47%	42%	3%	8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist	October 28–29, 2012	1013	± 3.1%	49%	44%	1%	6%
Public Policy Polling	October 26–28, 2012	874	± 3.3%	48%	44%	—	8%
New England College	October 23–25, 2012	571	± 4.1%	45%	45%	1%	9%
Rasmussen Reports	October 23, 2012	500	± 4.5%	46%	48%	1%	5%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	October 17–21, 2012	773	± 3.5%	43%	35%	3%	18%
Public Policy Polling	October 17–19, 2012	1,036	± 3.0%	45%	43%	—	12%
Rasmussen Reports	October 15, 2012	500	± 4.5%	46%	48%	—	5%
Suffolk University/7NEWS	October 12–14, 2012	500	± 4.4%	41%	38%	4%	16%
American Research Group	October 9–11, 2012	600	± 4%	40%	46%	3%	11%
Rasmussen Reports	October 9, 2012	500	± 4.5%	48%	46%	—	5%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	October 1–6, 2012	419	± 4.8%	35%	39%	3%	23%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	September 27–30, 2012	600	± 4.0%	38%	36%	2%	25%
Public Policy Polling	September 24–25, 2012	862	± 3.3%	51%	44%	—	5%
NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist College	September 23–25, 2012	1012	± 3.1%	47%	45%	1%	7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner	September 15–19, 2012	600	± 4.9%	48%	46%	—	6%
Rasmussen Reports	September 18, 2012	500	± 4.5%	44%	48%	2%	7%
Public Policy Polling	August 9–12, 2012	1,055	± 3.0%	45%	43%	—	12%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	August 1–12, 2012	555	± 4.2%	31%	33%	1%	35%
Rasmussen Reports	June 20, 2012	500	± 4.5%	36%	42%	—	22%
Public Policy Polling	May 10–13, 2012	1,163	± 2.9%	39%	40%	—	21%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	April 9–20, 2012	486	± 4.4%	34%	29%	1%	36%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	January 25–February 2, 2012	495	± 4.4%	26%	32%	1%	41%
Public Policy Polling	June 30–July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	35%	41%	—	24%

Hypothetical polling

With Cilley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jackie Cilley (D)	Ovide Lamontagne (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	August 9–12, 2012	1,055	± 3.0%	42%	42%	—	16%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	August 1–12, 2012	555	± 4.2%	31%	35%	1%	33%
Rasmussen Reports	June 20, 2012	500	± 4.5%	39%	41%	—	20%
Public Policy Polling	May 10–13, 2012	1,163	± 2.9%	38%	38%	—	24%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	April 9–20, 2012	486	± 4.4%	31%	30%	1%	38%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jackie Cilley (D)	Kevin Smith (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	August 9–12, 2012	1,055	± 3.0%	39%	38%	—	23%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	August 1–12, 2012	555	± 4.2%	31%	28%	1%	39%
Rasmussen Reports	June 20, 2012	500	± 4.5%	39%	37%	—	24%
Public Policy Polling	May 10–13, 2012	1,163	± 2.9%	37%	32%	—	31%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	April 9–20, 2012	486	± 4.4%	30%	23%	1%	47%

With Smith

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Maggie Hassan (D)	Kevin Smith (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	August 9–12, 2012	1,055	± 3.0%	42%	39%	—	20%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	August 1–12, 2012	555	± 4.2%	31%	29%	1%	39%
Rasmussen Reports	June 20, 2012	500	± 4.5%	36%	39%	—	25%
Public Policy Polling	May 10–13, 2012	1,163	± 2.9%	37%	31%	—	32%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	April 9–20, 2012	486	± 4.4%	29%	24%	1%	46%

With Kennedy

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bill Kennedy (D)	Ovide Lamontagne (R)	Other	Undecided
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	August 1–12, 2012	555	± 4.2%	29%	35%	1%	36%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bill Kennedy (D)	Kevin Smith (R)	Other	Undecided
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	August 1–12, 2012	555	± 4.2%	27%	29%	1%	44%

With Bradley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mark Connolly (D)	Jeb Bradley (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	30%	38%	—	31%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Maggie Hassan (D)	Jeb Bradley (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	33%	39%	—	28%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Steve Marchand (D)	Jeb Bradley (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	32%	38%	—	31%

With Connolly

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mark Connolly (D)	Ovide Lamontagne (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	34%	40%	—	26%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mark Connolly (D)	John Stephen (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	36%	36%	—	28%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mark Connolly (D)	John E. Sununu (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	36%	44%	—	20%

With Gatsas

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Maggie Hassan (D)	Ted Gatsas (R)	Other	Undecided
WMUR/University of New Hampshire	January 25-February 2, 2012	495	± 4.4%	27%	29%	1%	43%

With Lynch

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Lynch (D)	Jeb Bradley (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	54%	35%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	March 31-April 3, 2011	769	± 3.5%	57%	33%	—	10%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Lynch (D)	Ovide Lamontagne (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	54%	36%	—	10%
Public Policy Polling	March 31-April 3, 2011	769	± 3.5%	57%	33%	—	10%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Lynch (D)	John Stephen (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	55%	34%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	March 31-April 3, 2011	769	± 3.5%	57%	29%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Lynch (D)	John E. Sununu (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	51%	40%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	March 31-April 3, 2011	769	± 3.5%	54%	36%	—	11%

With Marchand

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Steve Marchand (D)	Ovide Lamontagne (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	33%	40%	—	27%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Steve Marchand (D)	John Stephen (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	34%	36%	—	30%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Steve Marchand (D)	John E. Sununu (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	35%	44%	—	21%

With Stephen

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Maggie Hassan (D)	John Stephen (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	36%	37%	—	27%

With Sununu

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Maggie Hassan (D)	John E. Sununu (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 30-July 5, 2011	662	± 3.8%	36%	45%	—	19%

Results

New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2012
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Democratic	Maggie Hassan	378,934	54.61%	+1.98%
	Republican	Ovide Lamontagne	295,026	42.52%	-2.51%
	Libertarian	John J. Babiarz	19,251	2.77%	+0.56%
	No party	Write-ins	666		—
Margin of victory			83,908	12.09%	+4.48%
Turnout			693,877
	Democratic hold		Swing

Note: The ±% column reflects the change in total number of votes won by each party from the previous election. Neither the vote shares nor turnout figures account for write-ins. Turnout percentage is the portion of registered voters (791,434 as of 10/15/2012)^[26] who voted.

References

1 2 3 Langley, Karen (September 16, 2011). "Lynch will not seek a fifth term". Concord Monitor. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
↑ "2012 Election Information". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
↑ "Lamontagne, Hassan will face off in governor's race". Retrieved September 11, 2012.
↑ New Hampshire
↑ Hall, Beth LaMontagne (February 7, 2012). "Former state Sen. Cilley enters race for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved February 9, 2012.
↑ Marchocki, Kathryn (October 25, 2011). "Former Senate Majority Leader Maggie Hassan makes gubernatorial bid official". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
↑ Claffey, Jason (April 4, 2012). "Democratic Field for Governor to Expand". Exeter, NH Patch. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
↑ Timmins, Annmarie (April 5, 2012). "Political newcomer to run for governor". Concord Monitor. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
↑ Landrigan, Kevin (February 11, 2012). "Mark Connolly, financial whistle-blower, won't run for governor". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved February 13, 2012.
↑ Ireland, Doug (January 13, 2012). "Stonyfield CEO steps down". The Eagle-Tribune. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
↑ Cresta, Joey (December 21, 2011). "Ex-Mayor accepts UNH job, ending political rumblings". The Portsmouth Herald. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
↑ "McLaughlin won't run for governor". The Laconia Daily Sun. January 26, 2012. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
↑ Pindell, James (February 7, 2012). "EXCLUSIVE: Shumaker Will Not Run For Governor". WMUR-TV Political Scoop. Retrieved April 3, 2012.
1 2 "2012 Governor - Democratic Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved September 24, 2012.
↑ Houghton, Kimberly (September 19, 2011). "Ovide Lamontagne makes candidacy for governor official". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved September 19, 2011.
↑ DiStaso, John (November 16, 2011). "Conservative Kevin Smith says 'I'm in' for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved November 16, 2011.
↑ "In NH, a big election year by the numbers, too". Nashua Telegraph. June 20, 2012. Retrieved August 10, 2012.
↑ Curtis, Danielle (May 17, 2012). "Binnie won't enter governor race". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved May 17, 2012.
↑ Pindell, James (January 26, 2012). "Bradley Won't Run For Governor". WMUR-TV Political Scoop. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
↑ Cleveland, Kathy (September 22, 2011). "Sen. Peter Bragdon rules out run for governor in 2012". Milford Cabinet. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
↑ Landrigan, Kevin (March 8, 2012). "Manchester mayor Gatsas bows out of race for governor". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved March 12, 2012.
↑ Landrigan, Kevin (March 31, 2012). "Kenda rules out run for governor". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved April 3, 2012.
↑ Pindell, James (February 13, 2012). "EXCLUSIVE: NH Education Board Chair Not Running For Governor". Political Scoop. Retrieved February 14, 2012.
↑ Landrigan, Kevin (February 13, 2012). "Stephen, 2010 GOP governor nominee, will not run again". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved February 13, 2012.
↑ Schinella, Tony (June 12, 2012). "VIDEO: Babiarz Running for Governor". Amherst, NH Patch. Retrieved August 10, 2012.
↑ http://sos.nh.gov/NamesHist.aspx

External links

Election Division at the New Hampshire Secretary of State

Campaign sites

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