Next Latvian parliamentary election

Next Latvian parliamentary election
Latvia
Not later than October 2018
All 100 seats to the Saeima
51 seats are needed for a majority in the Saeima
 
Leader Nils Ušakovs Andris Piebalgs Māris Kučinskis
Party Harmony Unity Union of Greens and Farmers
Leader since 27 November 2005 4 June 2016 2014
Leader's seat Did not participate Did not participate Riga
Last election 24 seats, 23.00% 23 seats, 21.87% 21 seats, 19.74%
Current seats 24 23 21
Seats needed Increase27 Increase28 Increase30
 
Leader Raivis Dzintars Mārtiņš Bondars Inguna Sudraba
Party National Alliance Latvian Association of Regions For Latvia from the Heart
Leader since 23 July 2011 13 March 2014 5 May 2014
Leader's seat Vidzeme Vidzeme Riga
Last election 17 seats, 16.61% 8 seats, 6.66% 7 seats, 6.85%
Current seats 17 7 7
Seats needed Increase34 Increase44 Increase44
Incumbent Prime Minister

Māris Kučinskis
Union of Greens and Farmers

The next Latvian parliamentary elections will be called following the dissolution or expiry of the current Saeima, and must not be held later than October 2018.

Background

The 2014 elections saw Social Democratic Party "Harmony" emerge as the largest party. Although the largest party, Harmony has not participated in the government. A coalition was formed by Unity, the Union of Greens and Farmers and the National Alliance with Laimdota Straujuma as Prime Minister.[1] On 7 December 2015 she resigned after increasing tensions within the ruling coalition.[2][3][4] Following her resignation and several scandals around the Unity leader Solvita Āboltiņa, opinion polls showed a rapid decrease of support for Unity. On 13 January 2016 Māris Kučinskis of the Union of Greens and Farmers was nominated to be the next Prime Minister by President Raimonds Vējonis.[5] His government was approved by the Saeima on 11 February.

Electoral system

The 100 members of the Saeima are elected by open list proportional representation from five multi-member constituencies (Kurzeme, Latgale, Riga (in which overseas votes are counted), Vidzeme and Zemgale) between 13 and 32 seats in size. Seats are allocated using the Sainte-Laguë method with a national electoral threshold of 5%.[6]

Opinion polls

Graphical Summary

Poll date SDPS V ZZS NA LRA NSL LKS VL LA JKP GKL KPV Won't vote Don't know Other
July 2016 17.8 6.3 17.5 9.1 2.1 1.9 5.9 16.8 19.6 3.0
June 2016 19.2 5.4 17.1 7.8 2.3 3.1 8.4 11.3 22.7 2.7
May 201619.14.119.96.22.41.41.30.70.40.20.36.112.425.60.0
April 201616.73.720.08.14.02.20.70.71.00.90.111.929.80.0
March 201617.95.520.29.04.62.30.70.61.30.60.414.722.40.0
February 201618.55.418.18.33.92.81.30.50.10.617.522.11.0
February 201620.15.921.28.74.62.20.70.41.00.511.923.90.0
January 201618.75.316.88.14.71.60.40.30.70.212.630.70.0
December 201519.55.515.68.75.01.90.40.50.30.311.531.00.0
November 201518.18.114.98.25.63.60.50.50.50.612.626.80.0
October 201520.57.215.17.94.42.00.30.70.30.113.028.40.0
August 201521.78.013.610.04.42.812.725.11.7
April 201520.510.313.39.04.83.91.00.211.524.51.0
February 201518.49.812.77.73.63.415.326.52.6
2014 election23.021.919.716.66.76.91.61.20.90.7----0.4

References

  1. ↑ "President nominates Straujuma to carry on". www.lsm.lv. Retrieved 2016-02-01.
  2. ↑ Kaža, Juris. "Latvia's Prime Minister Laimdota Straujuma Steps Down". Wall Street Journal. ISSN 0099-9660. Retrieved 2016-02-01.
  3. ↑ "Government falls as Straujuma resigns". www.lsm.lv. Retrieved 2016-02-01.
  4. ↑ Sputnik. "Latvian Prime Minister Straujuma Resigns". sputniknews.com. Retrieved 2016-02-01.
  5. ↑ "President nominates Māris Kučinskis as Prime Minister". www.lsm.lv. Retrieved 2016-02-01.
  6. ↑ Electoral system IPU
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