Iranian presidential election, 2017

Iranian presidential election, 2017
Iran
19 May 2017

President before election

Hassan Rouhani
MDP

Elected President

TBD

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Iran on 19 May 2017, However, they might be held earlier under exceptional circumstances, such as the deposition, resignation or death of the President. It will be the twelfth presidential election in Iran.

Electoral system

This article is part of a series on the
Politics of the
Islamic Republic of Iran
Government of Islamic Republic of Iran

Iran portal


The President of Iran is the country's highest directly elected official, the chief of the executive branch, and the second most important position after the Supreme Leader. Duties are similar to heads of governments in other countries, except that the armed forces, Chief judiciary system, state television, and other key governmental organizations are under the control of the Supreme Leader of Iran. It is also an informal custom that cabinet ministers for sensitive departments like foreign relations and intelligence are coordinated with the Supreme Leader.

Any Iranian citizen born in Iran, believing in God and the official religion of Iran (Islam), who has always been loyal to the Constitution and is above 21 years of age may register as a presidential candidate. An institution called the Election Monitoring Agency (EMA) and managed by the Guardian Council vets registered candidates (in the 2009 election 36,000 people signed up as candidates) and selects a handful to run in the election. The Guardian Council does not announce publicly the reason for rejections of particular candidates although those reasons are explained to each candidate. Females who register as candidates have invariably been excluded from standing for election by the Council.[1][2]

Electoral law

One of the issues that has been raised in the pre-election debate over electoral reforms, especially regarding enforcement, situations of candidates. Executive of elections under previous law was ministry of interior (Government) and there were statements about changing of maintaining law. In addition, the law provided that the candidates must be political men and the meaning of men was not known. The changes began after the protests to the previous election. According to Iranian law, candidates more than 75 years old are eligible to run but their health issues must be checked by the Guardian Council.

Timeline

Candidates

Reformists/Moderates

Announced

  1. ^ دکتر مهدی خزعلی : برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری ۹۶ کاندیدا می شوم., Saraye Ghalam, 3 December 2016, retrieved 3 December 2016 

Potential

  1. ^ Arash Karami (31 August 2015), Will Rouhani serve a second term?, Al-Monitor, retrieved 1 January 2016 
  2. ^ گزینه اصلاح‌طلبان برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری 96/ آیا دستِ راست روحانی رقیب او می‌شود؟, sook.ir, 2014 
  3. ^ معصومه ابتکار نامزد ریاست جمهوری می‌شود؟, etedaal.ir, 1 November 2015, retrieved 13 August 2016 
  4. ^ a b c d e f نگاهی به نامزدهای احتمالی جریان اصلاح‌طلب برای انتخابات ۹۶/کاندیدای جایگزین روحانی کیست؟, parsnews, 8 May 2016, retrieved 13 August 2016 
  5. ^ شش کاندیدای بالقوه اصلاح طلبان برای انتخابات, vom, 23 August 2016, retrieved 23 August 2016 
  6. ^ تحلیل عباس عبدی درباره بازگشت احمدی‌نژاد, entekhab, 23 August 2016, retrieved 23 August 2016 

Declined

  1. ^ ظریف: کاندیدای ریاست‌جمهوری نمی‌شوم, eghtesadnews.com, 13 December 2015, retrieved 13 December 2015 
  2. ^ صادق خرازی: هیچ گاه نگفتم در انتخابات ۹۶ رقیب روحانی خواهم شد, nedayeiranian.org, 22 January 2016, retrieved 22 January 2016 
  3. ^ آقای وزیر کاندیدای انتخابات ریاست‌ جمهوری؟!, bartarinha, 15 February 2015, retrieved 22 January 2016 
  4. ^ وزیر بهداشت:اگر دنبال سیاست بودم تا حالا کجا بودم, saat24, 22 June 2016, retrieved 13 August 2016 
  5. ^ نگاهی به نامزدهای احتمالی جریان اصلاح‌طلب برای انتخابات ۹۶/کاندیدای جایگزین روحانی کیست؟, parsnews, 8 May 2016, retrieved 13 August 2016 
  6. ^ واکنش دکتر پزشکیان به خبرهایی مبنی بر مطرح شدنش به عنوان کاندیدای ریاست جمهوری!, drpezeshkian.ir, 1 November 2016, retrieved 1 November 2016 

Principlists

Announced

  1. ^ تصميم قطعي سعيد جليلي براي كانديداتوري در انتخابات96, parsnews, 8 May 2016, retrieved 13 August 2016 
  2. ^ ضمینه سازی سایت ضرغامی برای کاندیداییش, Iranian Labour News Agency (ILNA), 13 May 2015, retrieved 1 January 2016 
  3. ^ کاندیداتوری ضرغامی قطعی شد/آغاز بکار ستاد در خیابان جمهوری, Khabar8.ir, 31 September 2016, retrieved 3 October 2016  Check date values in: |date= (help)
  4. ^ محافظه کاران الیاس نادران را وارد بازی کردند, khabar8.ir, 25 October 2016, retrieved 25 October 2016 
  5. ^ «با» روحانی يا «بر» روحانی, fararu, 13 May 2015, retrieved 1 January 2016 

Potential

  1. ^ Iran's Conservatives Grapple for Power, Stratfor, 2012, p. 32 
  2. ^ محسن رضایی:قصد شرکت در انتخابات را ندارم, yjc.ir, 13 September 2015, retrieved 13 September 2015 
  3. ^ آیا سر روحانی در انتخابات ریاست جمهوری بعدی خلوت خواهد بود؟, YJC, 13 May 2015, retrieved 1 January 2016 
  4. ^ باهنر شاید کاندیدای آینده ریاست جمهوری باشد/ او می‌تواند به‌راحتی همه‌کس و همه‌جا را اداره کند, ana.ir, retrieved 1 January 2016 
  5. ^ الهام و جليلى گزينه هاى "احمدى نژاد" در انتخابات, ghatreh, retrieved 1 January 2016 
  6. ^ a b c d «با» روحانی يا «بر» روحانی, fararu, 13 May 2015, retrieved 1 January 2016 
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k رقیب روحانی کیست؟/٢١ چهره احتمالی نامزدی در انتخابات ریاست‌جمهوری+اسامی, aftabnews, 13 May 2015, retrieved 1 January 2016 
  8. ^ نامزد حزبی موتلفه در انتخابات ریاست جمهوری ٩٦چه کسی خواهد بود؟, ghatreh, retrieved 25 August 2016 
  9. ^ شورای‌نگهبان: زنان می‌توانند کاندیداتوری ریاست جمهوری شوند, aftabnews, 23 August 2016, retrieved 23 August 2016 
  10. ^ جبهه یکتا با 4 نامزد احتمالی, alef.ir, 10 October 2016, retrieved 13 October 2016 
  11. ^ a b جبهه یکتا با 4 نامزد احتمالی, alef.ir, 10 October 2016, retrieved 13 October 2016 
  12. ^ تصميم جبهه پايداری براي معرفی ميركاظمي به‌عنوان كانديدای نهايي/ تصميم اصولگرايان چيست؟, seratnews.ir, 9 October 2016, retrieved 13 October 2016 
  13. ^ کاندیدای احتمالی موتلفه در انتخابات مشخص شد, ion.ir, 22 October 2016, retrieved 22 October 2016 
  14. ^ عماد افروغ کاندیدای ریاست‌‌‌جمهوری می‌شود؟, khabaronline, 3 December 2016, retrieved 3 December 2016 
  15. ^ کاندیداهای محتمل جبهه پایداری برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری, khabaronline, 18 October 2016, retrieved 18 October 2016 

Declined

  1. ^ a b محسن رضایی:قصد شرکت در انتخابات را ندارم, yjc.ir, 13 September 2015, retrieved 13 September 2015 
  2. ^ کاندیدای ریاست‌جمهوری نخواهم شد/ ورود زودهنگام دولتی‌ها به انتخابات فرصت‌های اقتصادی را از بین می‌برد, Tasnim, 13 August 2016, retrieved 13 August 2016 
  3. ^ a b Cite error: The named reference Stratfor was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  4. ^ Akbar Ganji (13 May 2015), Iran's Hardliners Might Be Making a Comeback -- And the West Should Pay Attention, Huffington Post, retrieved 1 January 2016 
  5. ^ http://www.tehrantimes.com/news/406413/Iran-s-Soleimani-rejects-remarks-over-presidential-candidacy, Tehran Times, 15 September 2016, retrieved 15 September 2016  External link in |title= (help)
  6. ^ روز شلوغ عدم کاندیداتوری برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری؛سه نفر حرف آخر را زدند!, tabnak.ir, 16 September 2016, retrieved 16 September 2016 
  7. ^ در صورت اجماع اصولگرایان کاندیدای ریاست‌جمهوری می‌شوم, ghatreh, retrieved 1 January 2016 
  8. ^ جامعه روحانیت اقبالی به احمدی‌نژاد و به کاندیدای مورد حمایتش نخواهد داشت/ کاندیدا نمی‌شوم, tasnim, retrieved 17 September 2016 
  9. ^ Iran's Ahmadinejad seeks comeback after nuke deal, CBS News, 4 August 2015, retrieved 1 January 2016 
  10. ^ Ahmadinejad declines his run for president in 2017, Tasnim, 27 September 2016, retrieved 27 September 2016 
  11. ^ شغل نمایندگان بعد از اتمام دوران نمایندگی, bartarinha, retrieved 1 January 2016 
  12. ^ توکلی: قصد نامزدی برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری را ندارم, mehrnews.com, retrieved 17 October 2016 
  13. ^ پرویز فتاح گزینه اصولگرایان برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری است؟, 72nd Square New Agency, 13 May 2015, retrieved 1 January 2016 
  14. ^ فتاح وقت فکر کردن به کاندیداتوری ریاست جمهوری را ندارم, textnews.ir, retrieved 8 November 2016 

Others

  1. ^ رقیب روحانی کیست؟/٢١ چهره احتمالی نامزدی در انتخابات ریاست‌جمهوری+اسامی, aftabnews, 13 May 2015, retrieved 1 January 2016 
  2. ^ چراغ سبز شورای نگهبان برای بازگشت ردصلاحیت‌ شده‌ها ؟, entekhab, 26 August 2016, retrieved 26 August 2016 
  3. ^ چراغ سبز شورای نگهبان برای بازگشت ردصلاحیت‌ شده‌ها ؟, entekhab, 26 August 2016, retrieved 26 August 2016 
  4. ^ چراغ سبز شورای نگهبان برای بازگشت ردصلاحیت‌ شده‌ها ؟, entekhab, 26 August 2016, retrieved 26 August 2016 
  5. ^ غرضی: برای انتخابات 96 کاندیدا می‌شوم اما شما که رای نمی‌دهید!, Ghatreh, 10 November 2016, retrieved 10 November 2016 

Opinion polls

2015

Information and Public Opinion Solutions LLC (iPOS), based in Virginia, asked a random sample of 735 Iranian adults aged 18 and older an open-ended question about their preference for the next president. Among all respondents, 60% were either undecided or expressed that "it is too soon for them to make a decision". The poll was conducted on 14–15 February 2015, via telephone interviews on landlines and cellular phones representing every province of Iran. The firm states with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±3.6 percentage points.[4] Among those who replied a name, the results were as follows:

Who is your preferred President of Iran for 2017 elections?[4]
Preferred president Percentage
Hassan Rouhani
27(%)
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
21(%)
Mohammad Khatami
11(%)
Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani
10(%)
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9(%)
Mohsen Rezaee
5(%)
Saeed Jalili
4(%)
Mohammad Javad Zarif
2(%)
2016

Information and Public Opinion Solutions LLC (iPOS), based in Virginia, asked a random sample of 10,77 Iranian adults aged 18 and older about the next presidential election. The poll was conducted on 11–24 March 2016 (excluding March 20) via telephone interviews on landlines and cellular phones. The firm states with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.[5] The results also indicates that respondents with university education prefer Rouhani by a wide margin and Ahmadinejad has a slight advantage in rural areas. Data analysis does demonstrate a statistically meaningful relationship between respondents’ party affiliation and their presidential vote, those self-identify as principlist are most likel to vote for Ahmainejad, while reformists and moderates remain loyal to Rouhani. Among those who claim no affiliation, Ahmadinejad would beat Rouhani.[5]

If Mr. Rouhani and Mr. Ahmadinejad went head-to-head in the coming presidential election in 2017, who would you vote for?[5]
Preferred president Percentage
Hassan Rouhani
41(%)
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
29(%)
None of the above/Others
10(%)
Undecided/Don't Know
15(%)
No Answer
5(%)

References

  1. Karimov, F (8 May 2013). "First female candidate registered for Iranian presidential elections". Trend. Retrieved 18 June 2013.
  2. "Iran's ban on female presidential candidates contradicts Constitution". Amnesty International. 17 May 2013. Retrieved 18 June 2013.
  3. "تقویم انتخابات ریاست جمهوری اعلام شد". dailypress.ir.
  4. 1 2 "Ahmadinejad Upsets Rohani's Path to Re-election in 2017". Information and Public Opinion Solutions LLC (iPOS). 4 March 2015. Retrieved 26 December 2015.
  5. 1 2 3 "2017 Presidential Elections: Rouhani 41%, Ahmadinejad 29%". Information and Public Opinion Solutions LLC (iPOS). 25 May 2016. Retrieved 25 May 2016.
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