French Socialist Party presidential primary, 2017

Socialist Party presidential primary, 2017
France
22 and 29 January 2017
 
Candidate Arnaud Montebourg Benoît Hamon Marie-Noëlle Lienemann
Party PS PS PS
Previous Socialist nominee

François Hollande

The 2017 French Socialist Party presidential primary will be held to select candidate of the French Socialist Party and Radical Party of the Left for the 2017 presidential election.[1] It will be the second open primary (primaires citoyennes) held by the socialist parties, after the primary in 2011, where François Hollande defeated Martine Aubry to become the Socialist Party nominee. Hollande went on to defeat incumbent president Nicolas Sarkozy in the 2012 presidential election.

The primary will be held on 22 January 2017, with a runoff election to be held on 29 January between the two candidates with the most votes should no candidate win 50 percent of the vote. [1]

Background

In February 2016, the First Secretary of the French Socialist Party, Jean-Christophe Cambadelis, publicly indicated his support for a primary election within the party.[2] The primary was announced on 19 June 2016.[3] It is the first time a party with an incumbent president has held a primary election for over 50 years. Europe Ecology – The Greens, the Communist Party and the Left Party, as well as smaller left-wing parties, will not participate in the primary.[4] However, the Radical Party of the Left and the Union of Democrats and Ecologists will participate.[5]

On December 1, 2016, the incumbent French president, François Hollande, announced in a televised address from the Élysée Palace that he would not seek a second term in office.[6]

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Declined

Opinion polls

First Round

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample size
Hamon
PS		 Hollande
PS		 Montebourg
PS		 Valls
PS		 Others
Ipsos 9–18 Sept 2016 1,017 16% 43% 31% – 10%
16% – 32% 41% 11%
BVA 13–20 Sept 2016 400 14% 43% 33% – 10%
14% – 31% 44% 11%
BVA 3–13 Nov 2016 10,002 13% 40% 34% – 13%
13% – 32% 44% 11%

Second Round

Hollande-Montebourg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample size
Hollande
PS		 Montebourg
PS		 Undecided
Ipsos 9–18 Sept 2016 1,017 50% 50% –
BVA 13–20 Sept 2016 400 48% 52% –
BVA 3–13 Nov 2016 10,002 48% 52% –

Montebourg-Valls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample size
Montebourg
PS		 Valls
PS		 Undecided
Ipsos 9-18 Sept 2016 1,017 51% 49% –
BVA 13-20 Sept 2016 400 49% 51% –
BVA 3–13 Nov 2016 10,002 43% 57% –

See also

References

    1. 1 2 Vinocur, Nicolas (19 June 2016). "François Hollande to face left-wing primary test". Politico. Retrieved 19 June 2016.
    2. ↑ Helene Fouquet (2016-02-18). "French Socialist Chief Calls for Primary Before 2017 Election". Bloomberg. Retrieved 2016-11-20.
    3. ↑ Hollande to face party primary before re-election bid, Financial Times.
    4. ↑ "Greens to boycott French Socialist presidential primary, left rebels may stand". En.rfi.fr. 2016-06-20. Retrieved 2016-11-20.
    5. ↑ "Hollande's Socialist Party to hold primary for French presidential elections". France 24. 2016-06-19. Retrieved 2016-11-20.
    6. ↑ Aurelien Breeden, President François Hollande of France Won’t Seek Re-Election (December 1, 2016).
    7. ↑ "Maverick Montebourg declares French presidency bid". France 24. 2016-08-21. Retrieved 2016-11-20.
    8. ↑ "Rebel French Socialist lawmaker Hamon joins party primary race". Reuters. 2016-08-16. Retrieved 2016-11-20.
    9. 1 2 Nicholas Vinocur, The battle to be France's Bernie Sanders: Arnaud Montebourg is the latest in a crowded field of presidential candidates on the Socialist Party's fringe, Politico.eu (September 16, 2016).
    10. 1 2 https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/02/frances-pm-manuel-valls-expected-to-launch-presidential-bid
    11. ↑ Myriam Rivet, Hollande, Valls urged to contest French Socialist presidential ticket, Reuters (November 26, 2016).
    12. ↑ "Hollande 'not running for second term'". BBC News. 1 December 2016. Retrieved 1 December 2016.
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