Division of Robertson

Robertson
Australian House of Representatives Division

Division of Robertson in New South Wales, as of the 2016 federal election.
Created 1901
MP Lucy Wicks
Party Liberal
Namesake John Robertson
Electors 108,509 (2016)
Area 980 km2 (378.4 sq mi)
Demographic Provincial

The Division of Robertson is an Australian electoral division in the state of New South Wales. The division was proclaimed in 1900, and was one of the original 75 divisions to be contested at the first federal election. The division was named after Sir John Robertson, the fifth Premier of New South Wales.

In 1901 Robertson was a rural western electorate encompassing the area around Dubbo, Mudgee and Wellington. It moved eastward to take in Gosford in 1913, and since then it has been moved eastward in successive redistributions. By 1969, it had moved to approximately its current position on the Central Coast, immediately north of the Hawkesbury River, and now includes none of its former territory. Nonetheless, it has retained the name of Robertson, in part because the Australian Electoral Commission is required to preserve the names of original electorates where possible.[1]

It encompasses the towns of Woy Woy, Gosford and Terrigal.

Two of its members have served as Senators prior or subsequent to their tenures on Robertson. Former Senator Belinda Neal was elected in Robertson in 2007 and Deborah O'Neill became a Senator shortly after losing Robertson in 2013.

In recent years, Robertson has been a bellwether electorate in federal elections, taking on a character similar to mortgage belt seats on Sydney's outer fringe. The seat has a perfect record of voting for the party winning government since the 1983 federal election.

The current Member for Robertson, since the 2013 federal election, is Lucy Wicks, a member of the Liberal Party of Australia. In addition, after Mike Kelly became the first opposition MP elected to represent Eden-Monaro since 1975, Robertson currently holds the record for the longest-running bellwether seat in Australia.

The new bellwether

Ahead of the 2016 election, ABC psephologist Antony Green listed Robertson in his election guide as one of eleven which he classed as "bellwether" electorates. Prior to the 2016 election, the seat of Eden-Monaro was long regarded as Australia's most famous bellwether. From the 1972 election until the 2013 election – nearly half a century – Eden-Monaro was won by the party that also won government. No longer the nation's famous bellwether seat after the Labor opposition won it at the 2016 election, the nation's new longest-running bellwether is Robertson – continually won by the party that won government since the 1983 election.[2]

Members

MemberPartyTerm
  Henry Willis Free Trade, Anti-Socialist 1901–1909
  Commonwealth Liberal 1909–1910
  William Johnson Labour 1910–1913
  William Fleming Commonwealth Liberal 1913–1917
  Nationalist 1917–1921
  Country 1921–1922
  Sydney Gardner Nationalist 1922–1931
  United Australia 1931–1940
  Eric Spooner United Australia 1940–1943
  Thomas Williams Labor 1943–1949
  Roger Dean Liberal 1949–1964
  William Bridges-Maxwell Liberal 1964–1969
  Barry Cohen Labor 1969–1990
  Frank Walker Labor 1990–1996
  Jim Lloyd Liberal 1996–2007
  Belinda Neal Labor 2007–2010
  Deborah O'Neill Labor 2010–2013
  Lucy Wicks Liberal 2013–present

Election results

Australian federal election, 2016: Robertson[3]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Liberal Lucy Wicks 42,573 44.68 +1.15
Labor Anne Charlton 36,611 38.43 +3.74
Greens Hillary Morris 7,954 8.35 +2.75
Independent Van Davy 2,726 2.86 +2.86
Christian Democrats Robert Stoddart 2,539 2.66 +1.40
Antipaedophile Lawrie Higgins 1,527 1.60 +1.60
Liberal Democrats Matthew Craig 1,347 1.41 +1.41
Total formal votes 95,277 94.97 +0.90
Informal votes 5,042 5.03 −0.90
Turnout 100,319 92.45 −1.88
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Lucy Wicks 48,728 51.14 −1.95
Labor Anne Charlton 46,549 48.86 +1.95
Liberal hold Swing −1.95

References

  1. "Guidelines for naming divisions". Australian Electoral Commission. 20 July 2011. Retrieved 30 March 2013.
  2. The Bellwether Contests: Antony Green ABC
  3. Robertson, NSW, Virtual Tally Room 2016, Australian Electoral Commission.

External links

Coordinates: 33°22′55″S 151°12′47″E / 33.382°S 151.213°E / -33.382; 151.213

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