Division of Makin

Makin Australian House of Representatives Division
Division of Makin in South Australia, as of the 2016 federal election.
Created	1984
MP	Tony Zappia
Party	Labor
Namesake	Norman Makin
Electors	107,108 (2016)
Area	130 km² (50.2 sq mi)
Demographic	Outer Metropolitan

The Division of Makin is an electoral division for the Australian House of Representatives located in the northeastern suburbs of Adelaide. The 130 km² seat covers an area from Little Para River and Gould Creek in the north-east to Grand Junction Road in the south and Port Wakefield Road in the west, including the suburbs of Banksia Park, Fairview Park, Golden Grove, Greenwith, Gulfview Heights, Ingle Farm, Mawson Lakes, Modbury, Para Hills, Para Vista, Pooraka, Redwood Park, Ridgehaven, Salisbury East, Salisbury Heights, St Agnes, Surrey Downs, Tea Tree Gully, Valley View, Vista, Walkley Heights, Wynn Vale, Yatala Vale, and parts of Gepps Cross and Hope Valley.

Established in the South Australian redistribution of 3 September 1984 and named after Norman Makin, a former MP and diplomat. It is known as a marginal mortgage belt seat, with a large proportion of the population in the area paying off home loans. In the 2006 census, over 42 percent of the seat's electors had a home mortgage; ranking it 19th highest in Australia's 150 seats.^[1]

Created ahead of the 1984 election as a notionally fairly safe Labor seat, Labor candidate Peter Duncan won it even while he suffered a four-percent two-party swing. For the next two decades, it was always a marginal seat held by the party of government, often typical of mortgage belt seats. However, Labor's Tony Zappia won the seat at the 2007 election with a fairly safe 57.7 percent two-party vote against Liberal candidate Bob Day from an 8.6 percent two-party swing as Labor won government, the largest two-party vote and swing of any party in Makin's history at the time. Zappia actually won enough votes to take the seat on the first count, the first time a candidate won a majority of the primary vote in Makin. At the 2010 election, Zappia technically made it a safe Labor seat with a 62.2 percent two-party vote, again the strongest result for any party in Makin's history. Even though Mawson Lakes was added to the seat, Zappia held the seat at the 2013 election with a reduced marginal 55.1 percent two-party vote even as Labor lost government, becoming the first opposition member in Makin's history. He consolidated his hold on the seat in 2016 with a 59.5 percent two-party vote.

Ahead of the 2016 federal election, ABC psephologist Antony Green listed Makin in his election guide as one of eleven which he classed as "bellwether" electorates. Makin is the only bellwether outside of New South Wales and Queensland.^[2]

Members

	Party	Term
Peter Duncan	Labor	1984–1996
Trish Draper	Liberal	1996–2007
Tony Zappia	Labor	2007–present

Election results

Main article: Electoral results for the Division of Makin

Australian federal election, 2016: Makin^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Labor	Tony Zappia	39,358	41.84	−3.72
	Liberal	Graham Reynolds	26,847	28.54	−8.66
	Xenophon	Craig Bossie	15,614	16.60	+16.60
	Greens	Keiran Snape	4,373	4.65	−1.26
	Family First	Paul Coombe	4,273	4.54	−1.87
	Independent	Mark Aldridge	2,126	2.26	+2.26
	Animal Justice	Zarina Greenberg	1,479	1.57	+1.57
Total formal votes			94,070	95.56	+0.44
Informal votes			4,366	4.44	−0.44
Turnout			98,436	91.90	−2.08
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Tony Zappia	56,116	59.65	+4.59
	Liberal	Graham Reynolds	37,954	40.35	−4.59
	Labor hold		Swing	+4.59

References

Notes

↑ Megalogenis, George. "2006 census, customised tables commissioned by The Australian". The Australian. News Limited. Archived from the original on 18 November 2007. Retrieved 25 November 2007.
↑ The Bellwether Contests: Antony Green ABC
↑ Makin, SA, Virtual Tally Room 2016, Australian Electoral Commission.

External links

Electoral Divisions of the Australian House of Representatives in South Australia

Adelaide Barker Boothby Grey Hindmarsh Kingston Makin Mayo Port Adelaide Sturt Wakefield Abolished: Angas (1903–34) Angas (1949–77) Bonython Hawker South Australia

Divisions in: New South Wales Victoria Queensland Western Australia South Australia Tasmania Australian Capital and Northern Territories

Coordinates: 34°47′56″S 138°41′56″E / 34.799°S 138.699°E / -34.799; 138.699

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